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Friday, November 17, 2006

Speaker Boehner in two years?

Malia Rulon reports in tomorrow's Enquirer

Greater Cincinnati could be home to the next House speaker if Republicans regain control of the U.S. House in two years, a prospect that West Chester’s John Boehner pledged on Friday to make happen.

Boehner (pronounced Bay-ner) was overwhelmingly elected to be the Republican leader in next year’s Democratic-controlled Congress during a four-hour meeting behind closed doors, beating back a challenge from fellow Greater Cincinnati Rep. Mike Pence of Indiana.

That means Boehner, who won the job on a 168 to 27 vote, will replace House Speaker Dennis Hastert, R-Ill., as the No. 1 Republican in the House.

"It’s an honor to be chosen by your colleagues," Boehner said. "I pledged to them to do everything I could to bring our team together and to work hard so that we can earn our way back into the majority."

To do that, Boehner said Republicans must rededicate themselves to the "spirit of reform" and tackle the issues that Americans care about, such as cutting wasteful spending, reforming government programs that aren't sustainable, providing tax relief and strengthening national and border security.

"As Republicans we stand together united in purpose to renew our commitment to the core principles that brought us to the majority," he said. "The rebuilding begins now."
Boehner's promotion means greater clout for Ohio since Boehner is now in charge of his party in the House, from what legislation the GOP will support and what the party's message will be to how it will strategize a comeback.

It also means that Greater Cincinnati is now the geographic center of congressional GOP power since Kentucky Sen. Mitch McConnell was elected on Wednesday as Boehner's counterpart in the Senate.

Boehner has served as majority leader since February, a leadership post that made him the No. 2 Republican in the House, just under Hastert. But heavy GOP losses in last week’s election gave Democrats control of the House, forcing Republicans in the minority for the first time since 1994 and prompting Hastert to step aside.

Democrats elected Rep. Nancy Pelosi of California as the new House speaker.

Sen. Harry Reid of Nevada was elected as the majority leader in the Senate.

Boehner, who turned 57 on Friday, introduced the rest of his leadership team during a brief news conference on Capitol Hill on Friday, then led them all in a round of the Boehner birthday song, which goes something like: "This is your birthday song. It doesn’t last too long. Hey!"

Also elected: Reps. Roy Blunt of Missouri as the Republican party whip, Adam Putnam of Florida as conference chairman, Thaddeus McCotter of Michigan as policy committee chairman, Kay Granger of Texas as conference vice chairwoman, John Carte of Texas as conference secretary, Tom Cole of Oklahoma as National Republican Congressional Committee chairman.
At the top, Boehner and Blunt are familiar faces in GOP leadership, a sign that lawmakers preferred to stick with the old guard rather than opt or fresh faces and new voices, as Pence and Shadagg had argued was needed.

After the election, Pence said in a statement that the race was "one of the greatest honors" of his life. He pledged to work with Boehner to "steer our Republican Conference back to the principles of limited government, fiscal discipline and traditional moral values."


7 Comments:

at 10:17 AM, November 18, 2006 Anonymous Anonymous said...

So nobody has commented on this yet?

This concerns Carl Weiser's contention that Cincinnati is now the "Geographic Center of GOP power in Congress."

Could be. That would explain (partially) why against all sense and reason, Steve Chabot prevailed against John Cranley. And it makes Vic Wulsin's success all the more remarkable.

I researched some of the past SW Ohio Congressional races at the library the other day -- yes, you're right..this is solid GOP territory.

Both the Almanac of American Politics (issues from 1982- 1988), CQ's Politics in America (1990) and Almanac of Amer Politics (1992+) point out that the last Dem to hold power as a US Congressman (Charlie's Dad, Thomas) did so against a powerful current of voters who basically...just vote Republican.

Here is how the Almanac puts it, after noting Democrat Thomas Luken's electoral success: "But in state and national elections, the German Catholics join with the area's sizeable number of Appalachian whites - drawn from the rural hills to work in Cincinnati's industries - in voting Republican."

So the last time Steve Chabot lost..in 1988 to T Luken the vote was

Chabot 90,738
T Luken 117,682

That same election - 1988 -- GHW Bush beat Dukakis by
GHW Bush 63%
Dukakis 38%

So how did that Democrat succeed and Cranley come up short? Part of the answer may be that it took years and years of hard work and elections both lost and won for a Democrat from Cincinnati to get to Congress.

And there was not just one Luken in Cincinnati building up the family brand name: there was also Uncle Jim. So it took Jim and Tom years and years of tag-teaming Cincinnati for the Luken name to take hold.

Similarly, Charlie and his Dad have sort of done the same.

Young Cranley (since there's only one of him) has to work longer and harder if he's going to succeed getting all of those German Catholics and Appalachian Whites to vote "Democratic."

They're sort of like the "rednecks" that Representative Adam Putnam was complaining about in this election. Those Florida rednecks just didn't come through this year.

But in Cincinnati, the German Catholics and Appalachian Whites did show up to vote as expected... and then went on to their daily helpin' of Chili-topped spaghetti before headin' off to work.

 
at 10:44 AM, November 18, 2006 Anonymous Anonymous said...

You "political writers" don't understand the process.

The parties' caucuses elect their respective leaders, but the entire House elects the speaker. Pelosi's election this week doesn't become reality until it's done by the House when the new Congress convenes in January.

And stop the geographic cheerleading. It's old.

 
at 4:48 PM, November 19, 2006 Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you want Republican Catholics to vote for a Democrat, then you need to give them a Catholic Democrat.

If you want conservative Appalachian voters to vote for a Democrat, then you need to give them a Democrat who lives in Appalachia.

If you want Republicans who are against raising taxes to vote for a Democrat, then give them a Democrat who won't raise their taxes.

I'bve been watching the Ohio 2nd District Democratic primary candidates for the last few years and there is only one Democratic candidate who meets all of these criteria.

And he works in healthcare...

Keep Your Eye on This Guy

 
at 7:34 PM, November 19, 2006 Anonymous Anonymous said...

The above post by Mr. 4:48pm misses the point: Tom Luken knew the showbiz formula, "give 'em what they like and how they like it, then give it to them one more time."

Johnny boy was giving out mixed messages. Yes the Chabot ads were not very subtle racist appeals. And they worked.

Johnny was out there glad-handing with Clinton, with some fellow named Artur Davis.....etc.....sending out some mixed messages to those who vote labels rather than issues or candidates.

Johnny was 'reaching out' to potential voters...black voters who lived in the City of Cincinnati...who mostly weren't going to show up to vote while at the same time subtly turning off the Appalachian Whites and Catholic Germans of Hamilton County...especially the older ones...who most certainly were going to vote.

That is not to fault Cranley...and is not to fault the people who stayed within their "comfort zone," and voted the way they usually do....for the Republican candidate.

They were also voting for a guy who is "affable," who has been around for a long time, and who certainly succeeded in bringing to Cincinnati a whole parade of Republican Big Guns..including Laura Bush and Dick Cheney to campaign for him.

If both the Hamilton County voters and the City voters were really clear about their own economic self-interest, or were united in opposition to the Iraq war...then they might have voted for the Democratic Candidate.

So it is the Democratic party on a national basis who failed John Cranley, and not the other way around.

On the other hand, engaging in self parody by posing for the "Frisch's Big Boy" promotion was probably not such a good idea either.

It just brought home the idea (shared by the older folks, I'm sure) that John is little bit too young, a little big too wet behind the ears, to withstand all the sophistication of Life in the Big City: DC.

And he is young...at his tender age, how would he have been able to withstand all the temptations of DC...where every night is "Open Bar" night.......where clever groups like the AMA are constantly throwing temptation in the faces of Congressmen...usually via big blonds of the Hot Lips Houlihan Variety...

He wouldn't have stood a chance. And then all of his "pledges" would have been thrown out the door. God knows if he would have snared a good committee assignment or not.

So it's back to the drawing board for Democrats who want that seat back. Hopefully John will soldier on --2008 is not that far away, and in a Presidential year, the turnout is greater... and Steve might have a much harder time, depending on how things turn out with Abramoff and so forth.

 
at 10:02 AM, November 20, 2006 Anonymous Anonymous said...

Cranley lost because of Karma !

Cranley has done nothing to help other candidates within his precinct and he is an executive !

John is for John and won't return calls to those candidates seeking election and need his help to walk door to door in his precinct executive district !

He is to good for that, or worse he supports the opposition !

Hey, as far as I'm concerned:

"What goes around, comes around" !

Perhaps, he can evaluate his priorities !

Cranley seems a little, undeserved, uppity and has the personality of a "bullfrog" !

Chabot certainly knows how to play the humble part !

 
at 6:56 AM, November 21, 2006 Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Democratic Party of Hamilton County needs to find a more conservative, less self-loving candidate than John Cranley if they ever expect to win the 1st District.

Just telling it like it is. Sorry.

 
at 10:56 AM, November 21, 2006 Anonymous Anonymous said...

To the early bird 6:56am writer, today:

Really? I guess you have someone in mind, huh?

I wondered all throughout the campaign if Tim Burke, Tom Luken and Charlie Luken were really doing all they could to help young Cranley, or if perhaps they were just using him as a "stalking horse" for someone else in 2008- like Charlie Luken.

And before you say "tosh,tosh" --let's not forget that Charlie comes and goes out of elective politics....

After 13 years as mayor, as a local "talking head" on TV...he's got the name recognition, the political clout and certainly the big bux to take that seat in 2008...(depending of course on what else happens during the next two years).

So here's a couple things to ask Tom Luken (if he's not too old to remember the answers):

a)you got some publicity out of the "candlelight vigil" thing with regard to capital punishment, but on the subject of the Iraq war, you "sayeth naught." So how come?
GE aircraft plant in the district, and just rather not get into that subject?

b)Did you tell John about the time "AMA Cindy" was extra friendly and she wound up being "banned from the office for three months."? (Her excuse was something like, "Oh, we're going to be busy for a while...Chris Dodd is running for the Senate you know.")

Sincerely,
The Devil's Assistant

 
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