Bush on Blackwell
You may have already bought State of Denial, the new book by Bob Woodward on the Bush White House and the Iraq war, but chances are you haven't gotten to page 347 yet.
You might want to flip ahead.
There, Woodward describes election night 2004 in the White House, with a cigar-chomping Bush nervously waiting the results with Karl Rove, his political guru.
They were waiting for a statement from Ken Blackwell, Ohio's secretary of state, declaring the Ohio election over and Bush the winner.
According to Woodward, the president was a little hot under the collar and let loose:
"I am the president of the United States,'' Woodward quotes Bush as saying, "waiting on a secretary of state who is a nut.''
Many Ohio Democrats have thought so all along, but it is sort of jaring to see it coming out of the mouth of a Republican president.
Blackwell's gubernatorial campaign was shrugging off the quote Monday.
"It must have been a pretty tense time at the White House,'' said Blackwell campaign spokesman Carlo LoParo. "I don't know what the president said or even if he said it.''
During that campaign, LoParo said, the Bush/Cheney campaign was not very pleased with Blackwell, especially after he ruled independent Ralph Nader off the Ohio ballot, which was thought to be a big boon to John Kerry.
LoParo pointed out that Bush, even though he may have called Blackwell a "nut," thought enough of him to come to Ohio in August and raise $1.5 million for Blackwell's gubernatorial campaign.
14 Comments:
What an ingrateful comment after all Blackwell did for Bush. I guess Blackwell will become the next Katherine Harris.
Well, Blackwell is a nut case, but this is the pot calling the kettle black!
Bush would travel on Air Force One at tax payer expense to raise money for a bologna sandwich if it had an R after its name.
I find it interesting that Blackwell doesn't seem to have any family campaigning with him other than his wife and that seems half hearted. He has two brothers yet his official bio does not even mention them. Could it be his own family thinks he is a traitor? Or is it the arrogance?
Blackwell=white power
Steve says: Blackwell is the former-someone who truly believed in their god, trying to bring everything around them into lockstep with a pre-conceived notion of good and bad
WHAT ABOUT THE DISENFRANCHISEMENT OF THOUSANDS OF AFRICAN AMERICANS IN THE '04 ELECTION-WAS THAT FOR THEIR OWN GOOD? Blackwell is more likely an opportunist who is out for Blackwell.
Obviously, this is another example of HowaRd Wilkinson doing no real reporting and just passing off Republican talking points as his own, right?
seriously - you thought that Bushboy loved his black brother?
Blackwell was and is a nut to think that any of those Republicans think of him as anything but a nut job - who would sell out his own race for a promised position - no matter the hurt.
Rustle up those IDs - my Brother -
since - "same skin - no kin" Blackwell - did you in -
Blackwell as an opportunist-at CNP:
Wed Mar 08, 2006 at 07:05:00 PM PDT
Ken Blackwell Ohio Candidate for Governor Caught Scrubbing Post about Speech Before Ultra-Rightwing Conservative Group
Council for National Policy
3/6/2006 9:53:39 AM [KenBlackwell.com Blog :: Featured Posts] [Matt Naugle]
photo at link
Tom Ellis, a top political operative of the ultra-conservative Jesse Helms, followed LaHaye as the CNP president in 1982. Ellis had a checkered past, having served as a director of a foundation called the Pioneer Fund, which has a long history of subsidizing efforts to prove blacks are genetically inferior to whites.
In addition to obsessing over communist threats and buttressing white supremacist ideology, the CNP has included many members bent on replacing American democracy with theocracy.
The CNP's current executive director, a former California lawmaker named Steve Baldwin, has tried to downplay the organization's influence on powerful state and national lawmakers. He has remained cagey about the CNP's goals, insisting it is merely a group that counters liberal policy arguments.
In many ways, Baldwin himself exemplifies the CNP's operate-in-secret strategy. As a political strategist in California in the early 1990s, Baldwin was one of the key architects of the "stealth strategy" that led to Religious Right activists being elected to school boards and other local offices.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/3/8/2250/63002
Ken Blackwell, as Ohio SOS mismanaged the 2004 election as evident by the following report issued by his office:
Results of Investigation
As a result of the most recent investigation, it is the investigators’ determination that the
members of the Lucas County Board of Elections, at the time of the November 2004
election, were directly responsible for the inefficient and unorganized management of the
election process in their county. Listed below, in order of importance, are areas of grave
concern:
• Failure to maintain ballot security;
• Inability to implement and maintain a trackable system for voter ballot
reconciliation;
• Failure to prepare and develop a plan for the processing of the voluminous
amount of voter registration forms received;
• Issuance and acceptance of incorrect absentee ballot forms;
• Manipulation of the process involving the 3% recount;
• Disjointed implementation of the Directive regarding the removal of Nader and
Camejo from the ballot;
• Failure to properly issue hospital ballots in accordance with statutory
requirements;
• Failure to maintain the security of poll books during the official canvass;
• Failure to examine campaign finance reports in a timely manner;
• Failure to guard and protect public documents;
• Lack of staff election plan;
• Current administrative operations; and,
• Non-compliant areas of the administrative oversight status mandates.
-snip
http://www.sos.state.oh.us/sos/electionsvoter/lucas/LucasCountyInvestigationReport.pdf#search=%22Lucas%20County%20Investigation%22
If he can't successfully manage 88 Boards of election, why should he be trusted running the entire state?
Blackwell-wrong for Ohio
One of Blackwell's strangest allliances is his ties to fringe evangelist Bill Gothard, as recently reported in the Akron Beacon Journal.
As Cincinnati Beacon readers have long been aware, Phil Heimlich is closely tied to Gothard and questions are being raised about whether Heimlich has been taking illegal commissions from a Gothard front, the International Association of Character Cities. Heimlich has refused to answer questions.
Enquirer blog readers are urged to write to Enquirer editor Carl Weiser who is hosting a web chat with Heimlich this Friday at noon. Send Weiser an e-mail now and request that he ask Heimlich the following question. Copy the Dean, who is monitoring this:
cweiser@enquirer.com
dean@deanofcincinnati.com
Mr. Weiser:
Please ask Commissioner Heimlich if he has ever received any payments or gifts from the Character Cities organization or its affiliates. If so, please ask him how much he’s been paid and when was the most recent payment.
A number of Beacon readers have already sent Weiser this question. If Weiser fails to ask the question, it raises obvious concerns that the Enquirer has a policy to shield Heimlich.
"He has two brothers yet his official bio does not even mention them. Could it be his own family thinks he is a traitor?"
I believe his brother is a member of the Ohio Republican Party Central Committee, a tough position to gain.
Any statisticians interested in 2004:
It would be nice if RFK, Jr. asked this question:
How many votes were switched from Kerry to Bush?
4.5 million.
Assumptions:
1) The Census estimate that 125.7mm (0.30%MoE) voted in 2004 is correct. The 2004 total recorded vote was 122.3mm. Assume that the 3.4mm discrepancy is due to spoiled and/or lost ballots.
2) Allocate the 3.4mm lost/spoiled votes to Kerry (2.5mm) and Bush (0.9mm). In every presidential election, the vast majority of spoiled/lost votes occur in democratic minority districts.
3) Assume 95% of 2000 Gore and Bush voters turned out to vote in 2004.
4) Adjust the 12:22am National Exit Poll "How Voted in 2000" weights. The 41% Bush/39% Gore weights are mathematically impossible. Change to 38.2% Gore/37.8% Bush.
The new weights are calculated based on:
a) total recorded 2000 vote (Gore 51.0mm-Bush 50.5mm)
b) 0.87%/year mortality rate (3.5% over 4 years)
c) 95% turnout of 2000 Bush and Gore voters.
5) Assume 12:22am NEP vote shares are correct.
Calculations:
1)Start with the Recorded Vote count:
Bush 62.0mm
Kerry 59.0mm
Other 1.3mm
2) Allocate 3.4mm spoiled/lost votes (2.5mm to Kerry; 0.9mm to Bush):
Bush 62.9mm
Kerry 61.5mm
3)Calculate the Kerry/Bush total vote share (below):
Kerry 66.0mm (52.5%)
Bush 58.4mm (46.5%)
Other 1.3mm (1.0%)
Total 125.7mm
4) Solve for X, the switched votes:
Kerry: X = 66.0 - 61.5
Bush: -X = 58.4 - 62.9
X = 4.5mm votes were switched from Kerry to Bush.
--
NEP (adj. plausible weights, 125.7mm votes)
Voted in 2000 Demographic
Turnout 5%
Turnout Sensitivity
Voted Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other... Turnout% Kerry% Margin(mm)
No 21.77% 27.36 57% 41% 2%......90 52.76 8.25
Gore 38.24% 48.06 91% 8% 1%......95 52.52 7.59
Bush 37.83% 47.55 10% 90% 0%......98 52.38 7.20
Other 2.17% 2.72 71% 21% 8%......100 52.29 6.93
Total 100% 125.7 52.5% 46.5% 1.0%
Vote Total 125.7 66.02 58.43 1.25
Kerry margin: 7.59million
_______________________________
Actual NEP (impossible weights,122.3mm votes)
Voted Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other
No 17% 20.79 57% 41% 2%
Gore 39% 47.70 91% 8% 1%
Bush 41% 50.14 10% 90% 0%
Other 3% 3.67 71% 21% 8%
Total 100% 122.3 51.41% 47.62% 0.97%
Total 100% 122.3 62.87 58.24 1.19
Kerry margin: 4.64 million
Link: http://www.bradblog.com/?p=3537
stevepol
In Ohio, during the 2004 Presidential election, 153,237 ballots were simply thrown away - more than the Bush "victory" margin. In New Mexico the uncounted vote was five times the Bush alleged victory margin of 5,988. In Iowa, Bush's triumph of 13,498 was overwhelmed by 36,811 votes rejected. The official number is bad enough - 1,855,827 ballots cast not counted, according to the federal government's Elections Assistance Commission. But the feds are missing data from several cities and entire states too embarrassed to report the votes they failed to count.
Correcting for that under-reporting, the number of ballots cast but never counted goes to 3,600,380. Why doesn't your government tell you this?
Hey, they do. It's right there in black and white in a US Census Bureau announcement released seven months after the election - in a footnote. The Census tabulation of voters voting in the 2004 presidential race "differs," it reads, from ballots tallied by the Clerk of the House of Representatives by 3.4 million votes.
This is the hidden presidential count, which, with the exception of the Census's whispered footnote, has not been reported. In the voting biz, most of these lost votes are called "spoilage." Spoilage, not the voters, picked our President for us. Unfortunately, that's not all. In addition to the three million ballots uncounted due to technical "glitches," millions more were lost because the voters were prevented from casting their ballots in the first place. This group of un-votes includes voters illegally denied registration or wrongly purged from the registries.
more at:
http://www.coastalpost.com/06/10/01.html
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