About that 'southwest suburban blob...'
From this Dispatch column:
The Ohio maxim had been that if Democrats turned out, their candidates won. Republicans trumped that in 2004, notably in the southwest Ohio suburban blob anchored by Cincinnati, Dayton and Lebanon, including Butler (Hamilton and Middletown) County.
For McCain to have an Ohio win, he'd have to swamp Clinton in southwest Ohio despite those Cincinnati-area Republicans who think he's a closet Democrat. But what if there and everywhere else in Ohio black Democrats stayed home, irked that their party spurned Obama? Advantage, McCain.